The India-Pakistan Military Standoff: Crisis and Escalation by Z. Davis

By Z. Davis

Targeting the 2001-2002 problem which introduced the nuclear competitors to the threshold of struggle, this booklet explores the dynamics of strategic balance among India and Pakistan. just like the 1999 Kashmir situation and the 2008 Mumbai hindrance, the 2001 assault at the Indian Parliament set in movement occasions that just about spun uncontrolled. India’s army mobilization raised the threat of full-scale conflict and the chance that Pakistan, confronted with the defeat of its military, could lodge to nuclear guns. The participants specialize in 5 major components: the political heritage that ended in the challenge; the normal army surroundings in the course of the obstacle; the nuclear surroundings throughout the drawback; coercive international relations and de-escalation throughout the drawback; and fingers keep watch over and confidence-building measures which could aid South Asia to prevent related crises sooner or later.  

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In retrospect, it would seem Dar’s press conference was something of a political coup, an attempt to seize the political high ground by surprise. Indian signals intercepts make clear that some elements within the HuM were startled by the declaration—or were determined to sabotage it, believing it did not have the sanction of their Muzaffarabad-based amir, Mohammad Yusuf Shah (widely known by his nom de guerre, Syed Salahuddin). On the morning of July 25, the HuM deputy chief, Ghulam Nabi Khan, who would soon represent Shah at the organization’s first and only official meeting with Indian officials, called for an escalation of the jihad, using his normal code-name, Khalid Saifullah.

In essence, then, the HuM had the choice of responding to the multiple sources of pressure upon it, or to watch its field commanders strike independent deals with diverse players in Kashmir. Indeed, the fact that G. M. 1057/9780230118768 - The India-Pakistan Military Standoff, Edited by Zachary S. indd 29 2/24/2011 12:59:04 PM Th e I n di a-Pa k i s t a n M i l i t a r y S t a n d of f group. Days before the Ramzan cease-fire came into place, the amire-Jamaat again reiterated his position. This time, he was more explicit in his formulations.

The HuM itself, Dar continued, would encourage politicians from India and abroad to visit Kashmir, and begin a dialogue with its people. 1057/9780230118768 - The India-Pakistan Military Standoff, Edited by Zachary S. ” Events, however, were not to proceed quite as smoothly as Dar’s tone may have suggested. In retrospect, it would seem Dar’s press conference was something of a political coup, an attempt to seize the political high ground by surprise. Indian signals intercepts make clear that some elements within the HuM were startled by the declaration—or were determined to sabotage it, believing it did not have the sanction of their Muzaffarabad-based amir, Mohammad Yusuf Shah (widely known by his nom de guerre, Syed Salahuddin).

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